Private evidence worksheet

Harry Potter: Fan Theory Guide

Enjoy the theory. Test the claim.

Build an argument from checkable evidence, entry what contradicts it and decide what future event would prove you wrong.

Build a theory card

Your draft stays in this browser and is not submitted to the site.

Current confidence

Complete the worksheet to create a clearly labelled theory card.

The evidence ladder

Confidence should follow evidence quality—not excitement.

Strongest

Primary confirmation

A dated official announcement, published credit or released episode establishes the claim directly.

Useful

Independent corroboration

Named, reputable reporting or a public document supports part of the claim.

Speculation

Interpretation

A costume, edit, rumour or omission may inspire a theory, but does not confirm it.

Audit the source list

Build a theory someone else can test

Make one clear claim

Our suggestion is to write a theory in a single sentence before adding supporting material. If the sentence contains several different predictions, split it into smaller claims. You may be confident about a character’s motive while being uncertain about when that motive becomes important. Treating those as separate questions makes the discussion clearer. A good theory gives another reader something definite to examine; it does not need a dramatic title, a large collection of screenshots or certainty about every part of the story.

Next, describe the strongest reason you believe the claim. Distinguish the thing you encountered from the meaning you gave it. A line of dialogue, an official announcement and a resemblance between two images are different kinds of material. They can prompt interesting ideas, but they support different conclusions. For a fictional example unrelated to the production, “the room is locked” is an observation; “the owner is hiding something” is an interpretation. Keep that distinction visible in the language of your card.

Find the best objection

Before asking friends to endorse your theory, write the objection you would raise if it belonged to someone else. Could the same detail have an ordinary explanation? Have you assumed that two events are connected because they appear close together? Are you using knowledge a first-time audience has not yet received? Work through the strongest alternative rather than a deliberately weak one. If the theory still interests you, explain why it accounts for the material better than the alternative.

Give uncertainty a practical meaning. “Low confidence” should help you decide how to speak: “I wonder whether” or “one possible reading” is more useful than presenting speculation as a development. Avoid percentages unless you have a meaningful basis for calculating them. A conversation about a story can remain lively without pretending to be a measurement exercise. You can admire someone’s interpretation while disagreeing about how likely it is, and you can enjoy a theory you do not expect to be correct.

Decide what would change your mind

Write one observable event that would strengthen your interpretation and one that would weaken it. Make these specific enough that you can return to them later. If every possible outcome somehow confirms the theory, revise the claim until it can genuinely be challenged. For reading groups, exchange theory cards at an agreed chapter boundary and ask each person to explain the other’s argument fairly before responding. This encourages listening and reduces the temptation to defend a favourite idea at any cost.

For a first-book exercise, start with a question raised by chapter one and keep a note of what you expect to learn next. The official chapter-one reading resource gives newcomers a shared starting point. Revisit your note after the next agreed section, recording whether the question was answered, complicated or replaced. Do not erase an incorrect guess: it can reveal how the story directed your attention. A satisfying reading conversation often begins with explaining why a mistaken interpretation once seemed so persuasive.

Try giving your card a plain title naming the question; this makes it easier to recognise when your interpretation has changed enough to need rewriting.

Related official reading: Official first-book introduction and chapter-one reading resource.